Things that had to be right
Four projects, ordered by when they shipped. Where a figure is quoted it comes from held-out data and the method is in the write-up — not from the training run.
The board 4 entries
- 2025 PMGC Winner Prediction Ranking 16 teams by their chance of taking a PUBG Mobile Global Championship round, from historical placement and engagement data. Two engineered features carry most of the signal. XGBoost · scikit-learn · pandas 78% accuracy
- 2026 FIFA 2026 Bracket Simulator A browser app that plays the tournament forward thousands of times and reports how often each side survives each round, rather than naming a single winner. React · Vite · Monte Carlo Live demo →
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2025 RAG Document Assistant Question answering over uploaded PDFs. Chunks are embedded and retrieved by similarity, then cited in the answer so a claim can be traced back to a page. Azure AI Search · FastAPI · Python Write-up in progress
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2024 CNN Image Classifier A convolutional network built from the ground up to learn how the pieces fit together — convolution, pooling, augmentation, and exactly where a small model starts to overfit. TensorFlow · Keras · NumPy Learning project · archived
What comes next
Problems where the answer is a distribution rather than a label, and where somebody downstream actually acts on the number. Ranking, forecasting, retrieval quality.